← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Stevenage win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 46' | 🟨 | Dan Sweeney · Stevenage |
| 47' | 🟨 | Anders Hagelskjær · Wycombe |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 68' | ⚽ | Nathan Lowe · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days |
| 204.00 |
| 691.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1593.17 | 1532.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.37 | -5.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| league points | 44.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |