← EFL League One 2025-26 · Wed, Feb 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Jamie O'Connor, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Wigan win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wigan +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
| 27' | 🟨 | Raphael Rodrigues · Wigan |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jake Richards · Luton |
| 37' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Wigan |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nigel Cello Lonwijk · Luton |
| 73' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 89' | 🟨 | Steven Sessegnon · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 48.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1475.11 | 1514.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.90 | -7.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 31.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.00 |
| solidity v1 | -1.67 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.11 |
| state index | -1.29 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 238.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.35 | 1.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 1.13 |