← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Reading win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reading +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Reading |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kami Doyle · Reading |
| 80' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Forino · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days |
| 200.00 |
| 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1588.00 | 1601.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.34 | 33.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| league points | 46.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 262.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |