← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Mansfield win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mansfield +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Niall Ennis · Blackpool |
| 41' | 🟨 | Reuell Walters · Blackpool |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Blackpool |
| 67' | 🟨 | Bailey Peacock-Farrell · Blackpool |
| 85' | 🟨 | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 200.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 5.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1433.06 | 1456.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.79 | -11.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 7.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.76 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 28.81 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.27 |