← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Plymouth +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 20' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Plymouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 47' | 🟨 | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ronan Curtis · Plymouth |
| 70' | ⚽ | Mathias Ross · Plymouth |
| 77' | 🟨 | William Forrester · Leyton Orient |
| 85' | 🟨 | Josh Koroma · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Wellens · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days |
| 200.00 |
| 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1525.67 | 1494.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.54 | 18.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -1.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |