← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Exeter win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Wycombe |
| 69' | 🟨 | Luke Harris · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jayden Wareham · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 200.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1441.16 | 1516.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.47 | -8.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |