← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bradford win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bradford +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Adama Sidibeh · Stockport |
| 24' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ethan Wheatley · Bradford |
| 48' | ⚽ | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kayden Jackson · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days |
| 200.00 |
| 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1584.01 | 1648.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.74 | 12.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 52.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.11 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.31 |