← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Peterboro win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 16' | 🟨 | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
| 31' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 45' | 🟨 | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 50' | ⚽ | Kayden Jackson · Bradford |
| 60' | 🟨 | Brandon Khela · Peterboro |
| 66' | 🟨 | Max Power · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 4 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days |
| 197.00 |
| 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 9.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1572.35 | 1553.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.70 | 27.47 |
| eye test v1 | -1.16 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 49.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | -0.42 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.63 |