← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Blackpool win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Blackpool +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 21' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Plymouth |
| 30' | ⚽ | Alex Mitchell · Plymouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Malachi Boateng · Plymouth |
| 60' | ⚽ | Caleb Watts · Plymouth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Plymouth |
| 87' | 🟥 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 87' | 🟨 | Xavier Amaechi · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days |
| 197.00 |
| 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1528.78 | 1469.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.55 | 7.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 33.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -2.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -2.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |