← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 48% | 1.91 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 26% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Barnsley −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 14' | ⚽ | Tom Bradshaw · Barnsley |
| 25' | ⚽ | Omar Bugiel · AFC Wimbledon |
| 27' | ⚽ | Omar Bugiel · AFC Wimbledon |
| 31' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 74' | ⚽ | Marcus Browne · AFC Wimbledon |
| 87' | ⚽ | Scott Banks · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 197.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1513.73 | 1505.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.32 | 1.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.58 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.39 |