← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Hair
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
| Huddersfield win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Huddersfield +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dan Sweeney · Stevenage |
| 61' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 85' | ⚽ | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Saxon Earley · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Ashia · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 684.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1516.08 | 1552.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.46 | 12.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.46 |