← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Reading win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 31' | 🟨 | Kadan Young · Reading |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 50' | ⚽ | Dan Casey · Wycombe |
| 64' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Reading |
| 66' | 🟨 | Luke Harris · Wycombe |
| 72' | ⚽ | Anders Hagelskjær · Wycombe |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Vidigal · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 24 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 197.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1579.05 | 1602.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.25 | 10.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.97 |