← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Reading win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wigan −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Kami Doyle · Reading |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jeriel Dorsett · Reading |
| 66' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 85' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 87' | ⚽ | Paudie O’Connor · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 40.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1484.38 | 1569.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.51 | -17.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -1.22 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 262.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |