← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Peterboro win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Mansfield −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Jon Russell · Mansfield |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 54' | ⚽ | — · Peterboro |
| 67' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 71' | 🟨 | George Abbott · Mansfield |
| 84' | ⚽ | George Abbott · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kyrell Lisbie · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 19 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 193.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1551.34 | 1541.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.40 | 1.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| league points | 39.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |