← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:01 PM UTC · ref: K. Dowle
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Doncaster win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Doncaster −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Aaron Morley · Wycombe |
| 17' | 🟨 | Caolan Boyd-Munce · Wycombe |
| 47' | ⚽ | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jay McGrath · Doncaster |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jamie Mullins · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 190.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 4.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1514.78 | 1405.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.80 | 37.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 40.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.99 |