← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:01 PM UTC · ref: A. Humphries
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Leyton Orient win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Leyton Orient −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Daniel Happe · Leyton Orient |
| 38' | 🟨 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Stockport |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 80' | 🟨 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Stockport |
| 80' | 🟥 | Josh Dacres-Cogley · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | William Forrester · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 190.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1653.39 | 1520.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.14 | -26.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| league points | 52.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 0.96 |