← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 55% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Plymouth win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Stockport −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Caleb Watts · Plymouth |
| 42' | ⚽ | Caleb Watts · Plymouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 49' | 🟨 | Joe Edwards · Plymouth |
| 69' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 74' | 🟨 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Plymouth |
| 85' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 183.00 |
| 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1649.06 | 1485.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.71 | 45.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 49.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.39 |
| solidity v1 | 1.02 | 1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -1.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 2.30 |