← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Blackpool win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Blackpool −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 71' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kal Naismith · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.85 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 183.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1504.82 | 1535.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.53 | -38.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 43.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.42 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.31 | — |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 276.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.46 |