← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Stevenage win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Stevenage +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Tennai Watson · Barnsley |
| 14' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 31' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 37' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 48' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jack Shepherd · Barnsley |
| 65' | 🟨 | Harry Cornick · Stevenage |
| 66' | 🟨 | Owen Goodman · Barnsley |
| 66' | 🟨 | Beryly Lubala · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 183.00 | 670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1509.85 | 1545.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.30 | -19.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 33.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -1.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.57 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.11 |