← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jamie O'Connor, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Northampton win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Reading +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 57' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Northampton |
| 58' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Reading |
| 67' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 30.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1462.12 | 1567.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.87 | 0.61 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.76 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | 0.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.08 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.92 |