← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Hicks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Doncaster win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Doncaster +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Aden Baldwin · Bradford |
| 71' | 🟨 | Paul Mullin · Bradford |
| 80' | 🟨 | Brandon Hanlan · Doncaster |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days |
| 183.00 |
| 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.55 | 4.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1576.03 | 1511.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.18 | 22.42 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | 0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 46.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | -0.71 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -1.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 2.08 |