← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Leyton Orient win | 26% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Doncaster −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.73 |
| Under | 38% | 2.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jamie Sterry · Doncaster |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kaelan Casey · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Luke Molyneux · Doncaster |
| 49' | ⚽ | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Billy Sharp · Doncaster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Wellens · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 179.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.53 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1494.54 | 1551.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.61 | -34.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 27.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -1.04 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 0.94 |