← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Humphries
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 51% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Peterboro win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Kyrell Lisbie · Peterboro |
| 41' | 🟨 | Saxon Earley · Stevenage |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dan Sweeney · Stevenage |
| 86' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 666.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1537.32 | 1546.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.30 | 26.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 39.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 2.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.27 |