← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Luton win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huddersfield −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.73 |
| Over | 38% | 2.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Liam Walsh · Luton |
| 29' | 🟥 | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mads Juel Andersen · Luton |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 179.00 |
| 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1536.29 | 1512.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.55 | 11.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 216.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |