← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 58% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Barnsley win | 17% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.75 | 58% | 1.80 |
| Barnsley −0.75 | 42% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 5' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 17' | 🟨 | Eoghan O'Connell · Barnsley |
| 45' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · Cardiff |
| 63' | ⚽ | Omari Kellyman · Cardiff |
| 69' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · Cardiff |
| 87' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 179.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1579.77 | 1454.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.23 | -12.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 56.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |