← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Barnsley win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reading −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Jack Shepherd · Barnsley |
| 32' | ⚽ | Haydon Roberts · Reading |
| 38' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 57' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 67' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 84' | 🟨 | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 176.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1572.80 | 1520.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.94 | -32.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |