← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Wigan win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | — · Doncaster |
| 21' | ⚽ | Jay McGrath · Doncaster |
| 45' | 🟨 | James Carragher · Wigan |
| 49' | ⚽ | Harry Clifton · Doncaster |
| 58' | 🟨 | George Broadbent · Doncaster |
| 60' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 66' | ⚽ | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 79' | 🟨 | Robbie Gotts · Doncaster |
| 87' | ⚽ | Owen Moxon · Wigan |
| 89' | 🟨 | Morgan Fox · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Senior · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 13 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 176.00 |
| 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1495.68 | 1516.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.15 | -9.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -1.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 26.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 60.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 33.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -1.96 |
| solidity v1 | -0.72 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.19 |