← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Blackpool −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Zachary Ashworth · Blackpool |
| 48' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 66' | 🟨 | Michael Obafemi · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 176.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1534.11 | 1481.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.57 | -28.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -1.74 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.76 |