← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Edward Duckworth, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 63% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Rotherham win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Rotherham −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Sean Raggett · Stockport |
| 24' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Stockport |
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Joseph Olowu · Rotherham |
| 53' | 🟨 | Josh Stokes · Stockport |
| 55' | 🟨 | Cameron Dawson · Rotherham |
| 55' | 🟨 | Joe Rafferty · Rotherham |
| 55' | ⚽ (og) | Cameron Dawson · Stockport |
| 60' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 71' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 76' | ⚽ | — · Stockport |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kian Spence · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 169.00 |
| 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1636.35 | 1463.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.95 | -63.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 42.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 0.18 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.57 |