← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lee Swabey, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Taylor Allen · Wycombe |
| 17' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 20' | 🟨 | Joe Wormleighton · Northampton |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jon Guthrie · Northampton |
| 58' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 64' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 16.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1489.83 | 1591.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.07 | -10.35 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 13.13 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.89 | -1.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 0.83 |