← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Leyton Orient win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 39' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Reading |
| 57' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 65' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 77' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Reading |
| 78' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 85' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Killian Cahill · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 169.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1545.21 | 1587.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.51 | 42.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -0.44 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.34 |