← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Simon Mather, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Burton win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huddersfield +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 28' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 42' | 🟨 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lynden Gooch · Huddersfield |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jake Beesley · Burton |
| 59' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Huddersfield |
| 78' | ⚽ | John Joshua Mckiernan · Burton |
| 84' | 🟨 | Radinio Balker · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Murray Wallace · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days |
| 169.00 |
| 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1480.45 | 1540.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.70 | 21.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.78 |