← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Humphries, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Blackpool win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Blackpool −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 27' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 36' | 🟨 | Zachary Ashworth · Blackpool |
| 53' | 🟨 | George Honeyman · Blackpool |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 83' | 🟨 | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 90' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 169.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1510.84 | 1543.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.00 | 5.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.54 |