← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Scott Oldham, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Leyton Orient win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leyton Orient +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 33' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 55' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ollie Tanner · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 162.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 4.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1546.80 | 1551.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.77 | 21.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 69.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 1.94 |
| solidity v1 | -0.82 | 1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.15 |