← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sun, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Abigail Byrne, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 59% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Exeter win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Huddersfield −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 20' | ⚽ | Reece Cole · Exeter |
| 43' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jayden Wareham · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Wareham · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 156.00 |
| 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1549.60 | 1518.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.51 | 24.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 38.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 1.27 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.28 |