← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sun, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Simon Mather, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Bradford win | 35% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Bradford +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Aden Baldwin · Bradford |
| 45' | 🟨 | Will Swan · Bradford |
| 56' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 67' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tommy Leigh · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days |
| 156.00 |
| 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1553.67 | 1601.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.53 | -7.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | -0.27 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 84.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.35 |