← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alan Young, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Wycombe win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · Cardiff |
| 14' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 30' | ⚽ | Caolan Boyd-Munce · Wycombe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 89' | 🟨 | Caolan Boyd-Munce · Wycombe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dylan Lawlor · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 153.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1584.76 | 1540.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.89 | 33.02 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 64.80 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 2.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.31 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 2.79 |