← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthew Corlett, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Rotherham win | 31% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Peterboro +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carl Johnston · Peterboro |
| 55' | 🟨 | Zak Jules · Rotherham |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dru Yearwood · Rotherham |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Joe Rafferty · Peterboro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Shaun McWilliams · Rotherham |
| 73' | ⚽ | Brandon Khela · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Ayres · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 153.00 |
| 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1479.54 | 1520.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -69.78 | 45.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 24.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 1.41 |
| solidity v1 | -1.50 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| state index | -1.40 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 2.22 |