← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Edward Duckworth, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 35% | 2.57 |
| Blackpool win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Blackpool +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | George Honeyman · Blackpool |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ryan Croasdale · Port Vale |
| 27' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
| 43' | 🟨 | Zachary Ashworth · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟥 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jayden Stockley · Port Vale |
| 58' | ⚽ | George Byers · Port Vale |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jaheim Headley · Port Vale |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Port Vale |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mo Faal · Port Vale |
| 86' | ⚽ | Devante Cole · Port Vale |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ronan Curtis · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 2 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| 153.00 |
| 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1477.93 | 1574.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.15 | 58.33 |
| eye test v1 | -1.47 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.82 |
| league points | 15.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 0.31 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | -1.36 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 2.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.88 |