← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Darren Drysdale, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 50% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Northampton +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jayden Fevrier · Stockport |
| 81' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 0.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1482.99 | 1643.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.53 | -6.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -2.28 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.62 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.47 |