← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jamie O'Connor, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Huddersfield win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huddersfield +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 61' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 62' | 🟨 | Conor McGrandles · Lincoln |
| 69' | ⚽ | Adam Reach · Lincoln |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adam Reach · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Freddie Draper · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | LNER stadium |
| coach days |
| 153.00 |
| 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1623.25 | 1545.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.35 | 45.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 44.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | 0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | 1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.93 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.10 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 2.15 |