← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Parsons, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 50% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| Doncaster win | 24% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Doncaster −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Luke Molyneux · Doncaster |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jack Senior · Doncaster |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 38' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Stockport |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 66' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 75' | ⚽ | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 80' | 🟨 | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Billy Sharp · Doncaster |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jack Senior |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 150.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1636.16 | 1489.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.19 | -48.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| league points | 35.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.73 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.09 |