← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Carl Brook, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Plymouth win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Plymouth +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Dan Casey · Wycombe |
| 33' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Wycombe |
| 80' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Wycombe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dan Casey · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days |
| 150.00 |
| 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1437.23 | 1587.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.08 | -32.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.19 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.17 |