← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 61% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Northampton win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Huddersfield −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Ross Fitzsimons · Northampton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dean Campbell · Northampton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Joe Low · Huddersfield |
| 62' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 83' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 150.00 |
| 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1535.10 | 1493.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.31 | 4.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 58.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -1.63 |
| solidity v1 | 1.04 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 2.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.43 |