← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Richie Watkins,
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Wigan win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Wigan +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 64' | ⚽ | Harrison Bettoni · Wigan |
| 87' | ⚽ | Dara Costelloe · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 150.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1425.98 | 1450.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.00 | -18.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 27.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.44 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |