← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Scott Oldham, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Port Vale win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bradford −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Kyle John · Port Vale |
| 14' | 🟨 | Jaheim Headley · Port Vale |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jayden Stockley · Port Vale |
| 54' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 67' | ⚽ | — · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days |
| 150.00 |
| 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1616.26 | 1482.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.82 | -48.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -1.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.62 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |