← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Yates, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 50% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Rotherham win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Rotherham −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
| 19' | ⚽ | Daniel Imray · Blackpool |
| 27' | 🟨 | ArJany Martha · Rotherham |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kion Etete · Rotherham |
| 55' | 🟨 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 58' | 🟥 | Jamal Baptiste · Rotherham |
| 62' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 150.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1490.63 | 1408.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.29 | -51.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.70 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 25.30 |
| state index | 0.16 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |