β EFL League One 2025-26 Β· Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Abigail Byrne, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Leyton Orient win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient β0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Peterboro β0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | π¨ | Archie Collins Β· Peterboro |
| 36' | π¨ | Peter Kioso Β· Peterboro |
| 46' | π¨ | Demetri Mitchell Β· Leyton Orient |
| 51' | π¨ | Thomas James Β· Leyton Orient |
| 64' | π¨ | Jack Simpson Β· Leyton Orient |
| 90' | β½ | Declan Frith Β· Peterboro |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1510.16 | 1596.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.56 | 10.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 61.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | -1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.56 |