← EFL League One 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Wycombe win | 30% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Luton −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gideon Kodua · Luton |
| 41' | 🟨 | Magnus Westergaard · Wycombe |
| 44' | ⚽ | Gideon Kodua · Luton |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 78' | ⚽ | Shayden Morris · Luton |
| 79' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1477.98 | 1609.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.82 | -2.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.31 | — |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.61 |