← EFL League One 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Woods, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Port Vale win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Port Vale −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 14' | 🟨 | George Byers · Port Vale |
| 15' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 32' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
| 50' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 58' | ⚽ | Leo Castledine · Huddersfield |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ruben Roosken · Huddersfield |
| 88' | 🟨 | Cameron Ashia · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Heneghan · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 147.00 |
| 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1519.70 | 1498.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.70 | -32.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 31.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -1.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.66 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 1.15 |